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Carbon Neutrality and Energy Security 2020–2022

In September 2020, China announced that it would aim to peak carbon dioxide emissions before 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality before 2060. This marked a major shift in environmental governance. Earlier policies had focused mainly on controlling pollutants such as sulphur dioxide, wastewater, and PM2.5. Carbon neutrality required something broader: restructuring the energy system itself.

The challenge was especially significant because China still relied heavily on coal for electricity, heating, and industrial production. Reaching the new climate targets therefore meant expanding renewable energy, improving energy efficiency, electrifying transport and industry, strengthening power grids, and reducing the carbon intensity of economic growth.

At the same time, energy security remained a central concern. Renewable generation was growing rapidly, but the power system still needed reliable electricity during periods of high demand or weak wind and solar output. Policy documents therefore increasingly paired the goal of a clean, low-carbon energy system with the need for it to remain safe and reliable.

This tension became especially visible in 2021, when some local governments moved aggressively to meet energy-consumption and emissions targets while China was also experiencing tight coal supplies, high coal prices, and strong industrial electricity demand. Central authorities subsequently warned against “campaign-style carbon reduction” and stressed the principle of “build the new before breaking the old”, signalling that decarbonisation could not come at the expense of basic energy security or economic stability.

Policy Response

2020 — Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality Goals

“碳达峰、碳中和”

China announced that carbon dioxide emissions would peak before 2030 and that the country would aim to achieve carbon neutrality before 2060.

Official English source:

https://english.mee.gov.cn/News_service/media_news/202012/t20201216_813364.shtml 

2021 — Working Guidance for Carbon Dioxide Peaking and Carbon Neutrality

“关于完整准确全面贯彻新发展理念做好碳达峰碳中和工作的意见”

The guidance established the national framework for reaching the 2030 and 2060 targets. It set goals for increasing non-fossil energy consumption, reducing carbon intensity, and building a clean, low-carbon, safe and efficient energy system.

Official English source:

https://en.ndrc.gov.cn/policies/202110/t20211024_1300725.html 

2021 — Correction of “Campaign-Style Carbon Reduction”

“纠正运动式‘减碳’,先立后破”

After some local governments and industries pursued overly abrupt reductions, central authorities called for a more gradual transition. The policy stressed that new low-carbon energy capacity should be established before older energy sources were withdrawn, explicitly linking climate policy with energy security and economic stability.

Official Chinese source:

https://www.ndrc.gov.cn/xxgk/jd/jd/202108/t20210817_1293876.html

Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality Goals

2020

On September 22, 2020, at the 75th session of the United Nations General Assembly, China announced that it would aim to peak carbon dioxide emissions before 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality before 2060.

The announcement significantly expanded the scale of China’s environmental policy. Earlier national programmes had concentrated largely on pollutants such as sulphur dioxide, PM2.5, and wastewater. The new targets required long-term changes across the energy system, including electricity generation, heavy industry, transport, buildings, and coal consumption.

China later added more specific 2030 targets, including reducing carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP by more than 65% from 2005 levels, increasing non-fossil fuels to around 25% of primary energy consumption, and expanding combined wind and solar capacity to more than 1.2 billion kilowatts.

The commitment also created a new tension within environmental governance. China would need to reduce its dependence on fossil fuels while continuing to meet rising energy demand and maintain reliable power supplies. This tension became particularly visible during the 2021 power shortage.

Selected Sources

“习近平:中国提高国家自主贡献力度,将说到做到” — “Xi Jinping: China Will Deliver on Its Enhanced Climate Commitments”

Permanent Mission of China to the United Nations, November 17, 2020

https://un.china-mission.gov.cn/chn/zgyw/202011/t20201117_8284890.htm 

 

“Report of the Secretary-General on China’s Carbon Peak and Carbon Neutrality Commitment”

United Nations

https://documents.un.org/doc/undoc/gen/n21/308/37/pdf/n2130837.pdf 

The 2021 Power Shortage

2021

In the second half of 2021, China experienced one of its most serious power shortages in years. More than 20 provinces introduced electricity rationing or ordered factories to reduce production, while parts of northeast China also experienced restrictions affecting households and commercial users.

The shortage was caused by several pressures arriving at the same time. Post-pandemic industrial demand was strong, coal supplies were tight, and coal prices rose sharply. Because electricity prices were still regulated, many coal-fired power generators were unable to fully pass higher fuel costs on to consumers, making generation less profitable. Some provinces were also under pressure to meet energy-consumption targets, adding another layer to local power restrictions.

The crisis exposed a tension at the centre of China’s energy transition. Only a year after announcing its carbon-peaking and carbon-neutrality goals, the government had to urgently increase coal supply to protect electricity generation, industrial production, and winter heating. Authorities ordered more coal production and imports, prioritised rail transport for power-station coal, and stressed that household energy security had to be protected.

Selected Sources

“国家发展改革委经济运行调节局负责同志就今冬明春能源保供工作答记者问” — “NDRC Responds to Questions on Securing Energy Supply for Winter and Spring”

National Development and Reform Commission / National Energy Administration, September 29, 2021

https://www.nea.gov.cn/2021-09/29/c_1310217739.htm 

 

“Explainer: What Is Causing China’s Power Shortage?”

The National / Reuters, September 28, 2021

https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/energy/2021/09/28/explainer-what-is-causing-chinas-power-shortage/